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The Ultra-short Term Prediction of Wind Power Based on Chaotic Time Series.
- Source :
- Energy Procedia; Apr2012 Part B, Vol. 17, p1490-1496, 7p
- Publication Year :
- 2012
-
Abstract
- Abstract: In this paper, we propose a method to predict ultra-short term wind power production with chaotic time series. Through analysis of the data measured from real wind farm, the ultra-short term prediction model of wind power is established based on the space theory of chaotic time series phase. The wind power of a real wind farm in northeast China in some future time including 15 m, 30 m and 1h are predicted by the prediction model finally. Test results are presented in the paper. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Subjects :
- PREDICTION models
WIND power
CHAOS theory
TIME series analysis
WIND power plants
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 18766102
- Volume :
- 17
- Database :
- Supplemental Index
- Journal :
- Energy Procedia
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 74679152
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2012.02.271