Long-term prognosis of esophageal variceal cases treated with injection sclerotherapy

One hundred fifty-two patients with esophageal varices underwent a total of 485 injection sclerotherapy procedures (mean, 3.2 times per each case). During 5 years of observation, 20 cases (13.2%) died following injection sclerotherapy. The 3-year survival rates, based on the Kaplan-Meier method, were 42% for emergency cases, 75% for elective cases and 90% for prophylactic cases. Significant differences (P<0.05) by the generalized Wilcoxon test were observed in the survival rates between emergency cases and prophylactic cases, and also between elective cases and prophylactic cases. Two cases (8.6%) of failure to control acute hemostasis were experienced. Twenty cases of bleeding after sclerotherapy were experienced, and 8 died of bleeding. The three-year bleeding rate according to the Kaplan-Meier method was 59% for emergency cases, 25% for elective cases and 7% for prophylatic cases. A significant difference (P<0.05) by the generalized Wilcoxon test was observed in the bleeding rate between elective cases and prophylactic cases. Non-bleeding rate (100%-bleeding rate) after sclerotherapy showed almost the same values as the survival rate. These results indicate that upper digestive tract hemorrhage influences the prognosis of patients after sclerotherapy.