Optimizing Investment in Agricultural Research, or the Quest for Prosperity

The growth in agricultural R&D investments around the world has slowed considerably in the past 20-30 years, even though most experts agree that there is substantial underinvestment in agricultural R&D. Introducing a simple economic model of the ex ante selection of R&D projects allows us to make a more insightful interpretation of the available ex post rate-of-return evidence. Two sets of factors can be identified that determine the level of investment in agricultural R&D: (1) the ex ante choice set of R&D projects for a given domain and time and (2) the extent to which the assumptions of full information and selection rationality apply