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Exploring pathways of solar PV learning in Integrated Assessment Models

Authors :
Carrara, Samuel
bevione, M.
de Boer, Harmen-Sytze
Gernaat, D.
Mima, Silvana
Pietzcker, Robert
Tavoni, M.
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei
Laboratoire d'Economie Appliquée de Grenoble (GAEL)
Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology (Grenoble INP)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Grenoble Alpes (UGA)
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
International Association for Energy Economists
Revel, Danièle
Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology (Grenoble INP )-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Université Grenoble Alpes [2016-2019] (UGA [2016-2019])
Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology (Grenoble INP )-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Grenoble Alpes [2016-2019] (UGA [2016-2019])
Source :
Heading towards sustainable energy systems : evolution or revolution ? : 15th IAEE European Conference 2017, Heading towards sustainable energy systems : evolution or revolution ? : 15th IAEE European Conference 2017, International Association for Energy Economists, Sep 2017, Vienne, Austria
Publication Year :
2017
Publisher :
HAL CCSD, 2017.

Abstract

International audience; The importance of solar PV as a power technology has rapidly grown in the last years and now it is indisputable that it will play a major role in the future energy scenario. One of the most important factors influencing PV penetration in the electricity mix is its investment cost. This cost decreased quite regularly in the past and this trend is expected to continue in the next decades.However, substantial uncertainty still remains on the actual future cost evolution and on the consequent impacts on PV diffusion. Basing on this consideration, a modeling scenario exercise has been set up which aims at exploring the impacts of the different cost patterns on PV penetration in the electricity mix and on other relevant variables. The objective of the exercise is twofold:- From a policy-relevancy perspective, explore different scenarios related to the possible future cost patterns of the solar PV technology;-From a modeling perspective, assess the responsiveness of models to changes in the cost data input.This extended abstract briefly describes the exercise and some illustrative results from the preliminary set of runs.

Details

Language :
English
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Heading towards sustainable energy systems : evolution or revolution ? : 15th IAEE European Conference 2017, Heading towards sustainable energy systems : evolution or revolution ? : 15th IAEE European Conference 2017, International Association for Energy Economists, Sep 2017, Vienne, Austria
Accession number :
edsair.dedup.wf.001..7c9e3dfe7e30f3e1695c82234793028b