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The Political Economy of Scientific Uncertainty: how communication campaigns are affected by scientific uncertainty?
- Source :
- 2013 North American Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society, 2013 North American Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society, Econometric Society, Jun 2013, Los Angeles, United States, 47th Annual Conference of the Canadian Economics Association, 47th Annual Conference of the Canadian Economics Association, Canadian Economics Association, May 2013, Montréal, Canada, 20th Annual Conference of the European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, 20th Annual Conference of the European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, EAERE, European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, Jun 2013, Toulouse, France
- Publication Year :
- 2013
- Publisher :
- HAL CCSD, 2013.
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Abstract
- International audience; We consider an industry organized as a lobby group whose activity generates pollution. This pollution may create damages. Scientists are unsure about the level of harm it might cause, and they can do research to reduce their uncertainty. The government may be benevolent, but populist. The industry wants to avoid being regulated. It can engage in costly communication efforts to affect public beliefs on the negative outcome. However, the effectiveness of the communication efforts depends on the level of scientific uncertainty. We find that there exists a certain level of scientific uncertainty above which the lobby communicates in order to influence the people's beliefs, and so the government's regulation. The more uncertain the science, the easier it is for the lobby to affect people's beliefs. Finally, we discuss about the possibility of government's research subvention to decrease this impact.
- Subjects :
- JEL: D - Microeconomics/D.D7 - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making/D.D7.D72 - Political Processes: Rent-Seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
Incertitude scientifique
JEL: D - Microeconomics/D.D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty/D.D8.D83 - Search • Learning • Information and Knowledge • Communication • Belief • Unawareness
Lobby
[SHS.ECO]Humanities and Social Sciences/Economics and Finance
JEL: D - Microeconomics/D.D8 - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty/D.D8.D82 - Asymmetric and Private Information • Mechanism Design
JEL: Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics • Environmental and Ecological Economics/Q.Q5 - Environmental Economics/Q.Q5.Q58 - Government Policy
Campagne de communication
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- 2013 North American Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society, 2013 North American Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society, Econometric Society, Jun 2013, Los Angeles, United States, 47th Annual Conference of the Canadian Economics Association, 47th Annual Conference of the Canadian Economics Association, Canadian Economics Association, May 2013, Montréal, Canada, 20th Annual Conference of the European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, 20th Annual Conference of the European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, EAERE, European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, Jun 2013, Toulouse, France
- Accession number :
- edsair.dedup.wf.001..a92421d213bdfd16235df19d1c073a44