Evaluation of sensitivity to endocrine therapy index (SET2,3) for response to neoadjuvant endocrine therapy (NET) and subsequent prognosis

580 Background: Patients (pts) in Cohort A of the American College of Surgeons Oncology Group Z1031 (Alliance) trial of NET for cStage II-III breast cancer were randomized to anastrozole [ANA], letrozole [LET] or exemestane [EXE] for 16-18 weeks (wks). In Cohort B, pts chose between ANA and LET and switched to chemotherapy or surgery if a tumor biopsy after 2-4 wks of NET had Ki67 >10%. Treatments after surgery were not defined by the trial protocol. SET2,3 measures nonproliferation gene expression related to estrogen and progesterone receptors adjusting for a baseline prognostic index that combines clinical tumor and nodal stage and a 4-gene molecular subtype (RNA4) defined by ESR1, PGR, ERBB2 and AURKA. High SET2,3 in a pre-treatment biopsy using cStage information is defined as SET2,3 >1.77. Methods: 379 pts had gene expression data from a research tumor biopsy prior to NET (Agilent 44K microarrays). A bioinformatician blinded to pt treatment and clinical outcomes determined SET2,3. The trial statistician then examined the association between SET2,3 and pharmacodynamic response at 2-4 wks (N=141, Cohort B): Ki67 ≤10% and complete cell cycle arrest (CCCA Ki67 ≤2.7%); pathologic outcomes in pts who completed NET: ypStage 0/1 (N=329, Cohorts A&B), PEPI-0 rate (N=155, Cohort B); and event-free survival (EFS) post-registration (N=244, Cohorts A&B). We used Fisher’s exact tests to assess whether responses, and Cox modeling to evaluate whether EFS, differed with respect to SET2,3 status. Results: High SET2,3 in 48% of pts (183/379) was associated with older age (median: 66 vs 63 years; p=0.012); cStage II (95% vs 75%; p