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Balancing a budget or running a deficit? The offset regime of carbon removal and solar geoengineering under a carbon budget
- Source :
- Climatic Change. 167
- Publication Year :
- 2021
- Publisher :
- Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2021.
-
Abstract
- The idea of the carbon budget is a powerful conceptual tool to define and quantify the climate challenge. Whilst scientists present the carbon budget as the geophysical foundation for global net-zero targets, the financial metaphor of a budget implies figuratively the existence of a ‘budget manager’ who oversees the budget balance. Using this fictive character of budget manager as a heuristic device, the paper analyses the roles of carbon dioxide removal (CDR) and solar radiation management (SRM) under a carbon budget. We argue that both CDR and SRM can be understood as ‘technologies of offset’. CDR offsets positive carbon emissions by negative emissions, whereas SRM offsets the warming from positive greenhouse gas forcing by the induced cooling from negative forcing. These offset technologies serve as flexible budgeting tools in two different strategies for budget management: they offer the promise of achieving a balanced budget, but also introduce the possibility for running a budget deficit. The lure of offsetting rests on the flexibility of keeping up an ‘appearance’ of delivering a given budget whilst at the same time easing budget constraints for a certain period of time. The political side-effect of offsetting is to change the stringency of budgetary constraints from being regulated by geophysics to being adjustable by human discretion. As a result, a budget deficit can be normalised as an acceptable fiscal condition. We suggest that the behavioural tendency of policymakers to avoid blame could lead them to resort to using offset technologies to circumvent the admission of failure to secure a given temperature target.
- Subjects :
- Flexibility (engineering)
Atmospheric Science
Global and Planetary Change
Balanced budget
Offset (computer science)
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences
Carbon dioxide removal
010501 environmental sciences
Environmental economics
01 natural sciences
Deficit spending
Solar radiation management
Greenhouse gas
Economics
Budget constraint
0105 earth and related environmental sciences
Subjects
Details
- ISSN :
- 15731480 and 01650009
- Volume :
- 167
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Climatic Change
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi...........1ee02eb7e8c8219bee2db948bdf383e5