Stock-of-origin catch estimation of Atlantic bluefin tuna (Thunnus thynnus) based on observed spatial distributions

Atlantic bluefin tuna (Thunnus thynnus) are a large, highly migratory fish distributed throughout the North Atlantic Ocean and adjacent seas currently managed as two discrete stocks: western and eastern. Both stocks forage in the North Atlantic, and a high degree of intermixing occurs, which combined with limited single-stock survey data makes it difficult to assess the abundance and status of individual populations. In this study, we used movement patterns from a multidecadal tagging dataset to create monthly distribution maps for these two major stocks. We then used these maps to separate the overall catch records into stock-specific catch (catch per unit effort, CPUE) time series. We identified an increase in the past two decades in the proportion of catch estimated to come from the eastern stock, attributable to a decrease in CPUE in regions dominated by the western stock, relative to other regions. The stock-specific catch series can be used to improve the accuracy of stock assessments and inform spatial management.