Abstract 187: Odds of Stroke in the Young based on Preexisting Atherosclerotic Risk Factors

Background: Recent studies suggest an increasing incidence of stroke in young populations in the last 2 decades in contrast with the declining incidence in older adults. Rising prevalence of atherosclerotic risk factors (ARF) has been proposed as an explanation for this trend. The aim of this study was to determine the odds of stroke with different ARF across the young population. Methods: In a case control study nested within a cohort of children (29 days-19 years) and young adults (20-49 years) enrolled in a Northern California integrated health care system between 2000-2014, cases of ischemic stroke were identified using ICD-9 codes as well as text string searches of the radiology database, and were confirmed by chart review and adjudicated by 2 MD review. Controls matched by age and dates of enrollment were randomly selected from the cohort. Charts for all cases and controls were reviewed for evidence of ARF prior to stroke diagnosis. Results: Strokes were identified in 141 children and 449 young adults, and 354 childhood controls and 1,014 young adult controls were randomly selected. All ARF were found at very low rates in both childhood cases and controls (figure). In the 20-29 year age group, hypertension and having more than one risk factor significantly increased the odds of stroke. In the oldest 2 groups (30-39, 40-49y), all 5 ARF significantly increased the odds of stroke, as did having more then one risk factor. Conclusions: ARF are very rare in children, including in those with strokes. Hypertension begins to increase the odds of stroke in the 3 rd decade of life, but in the 4 th and 5 th decades, each risk factor’s impact on stroke risk is significant, with more then one risk factor increasing the odds of stroke 10-fold.