Predictive values of serum insulin kinetics for reversion of impaired glucose tolerance to normal glucose tolerance and the effects of voglibose treatment: a retrospective post hoc analysis of a Japanese phase III study

In a phase III study, voglibose was shown to reduce the risk of development of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) by 40.5 % in Japanese individuals with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), and appeared to promote reversion of IGT to normal glucose tolerance (NGT). In a retrospective, post hoc analysis, data from this study, plus follow-up findings from subjects who achieved NGT during the study and who were off-treatment, were analyzed to investigate serum insulin kinetic parameters which might be predictors of IGT reversion to NGT, and maintenance of NGT once achieved. The effects of voglibose on serum insulin kinetics in individuals with IGT were also assessed. Subjects with IGT (n = 1778) were randomized to receive voglibose (0.6 mg/day) or placebo for a mean of 48.1 weeks. During treatment, 1053 subjects achieved NGT, 569 continued to have IGT, and 156 developed T2DM. Analysis of baseline characteristics in each outcome group showed that subjects with higher 30-min serum immunoreactive insulin (IRI) levels in a 75 g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) or higher insulinogenic indexes at baseline were more likely to achieve NGT, whether they received voglibose or placebo. Among subjects who achieved NGT, the mean increase in OGTT 30-min IRI level from baseline to endpoint was significantly greater after treatment with voglibose than with placebo. Individuals who had higher OGTT 30-min IRI levels when achieving NGT seemed more likely to sustain this state. Thus, insulin secretion kinetics appeared to predict reversion of IGT to NGT and maintenance of NGT once achieved.