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A fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model for flood risk based on the combination weight of game theory
- Source :
- Natural Hazards. 77:1243-1259
- Publication Year :
- 2015
- Publisher :
- Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2015.
-
Abstract
- As a result of global warming, the occurrences of floods have increased in frequency and severity. Flooding often occurs near rivers and low-lying areas, which makes such areas higher-risk locations. Flood-risk evaluation represents an essential analytic step in preventing floods and reducing losses. However, the uncertainty and nonlinear relation between evaluation indices and risk levels are always difficult points in the evaluation process. Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE), an effective method for solving random, fuzzy and multi-index problems, has led to progress in understanding this relation. Thus, in this study, an assessment model based on FCE is adopted to evaluate flood risk in the Dongjiang River Basin. To correct the one-sidedness of the single weighting method, a combination weight integrating subjective weight and objective weight is adopted based on game theory. The evaluation results show that high-risk areas are mainly located in regions that include unfavorable terrain, developed industries and dense population. These high-risk areas appropriately coincide with the integrated risk zoning map and inundation areas of historical floods, proving that the evaluation model is feasible and rational. The results also can be used as references for the prevention and reduction of floods and other applications in the Dongjiang River Basin.
- Subjects :
- Hydrology
Atmospheric Science
education.field_of_study
Flood myth
Operations research
Computer science
fungi
Population
food and beverages
Analytic hierarchy process
Terrain
Fuzzy logic
Weighting
Natural hazard
Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous)
Natural disaster
education
Water Science and Technology
Subjects
Details
- ISSN :
- 15730840 and 0921030X
- Volume :
- 77
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Natural Hazards
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi...........6b2483d40ec6257ef552235b6fcfe057