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Point Prevalence Estimates of Activity-Limiting Long-term Symptoms Among United States Adults ≥1 Month After Reported Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Infection, 1 November 2021

Authors :
Mark W Tenforde
Owen J Devine
Heather E Reese
Benjamin J Silk
A Danielle Iuliano
Ryan Threlkel
Quan M Vu
Ian D Plumb
Betsy L Cadwell
Charles Rose
Molly K Steele
Melissa Briggs-Hagen
Daniel Ayoubkhani
Piotr Pawelek
Vahé Nafilyan
Sharon H Saydah
Jeanne Bertolli
Source :
The Journal of Infectious Diseases. 227:855-863
Publication Year :
2022
Publisher :
Oxford University Press (OUP), 2022.

Abstract

Background Although most adults infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) fully recover, a proportion have ongoing symptoms, or post-COVID conditions (PCC), after infection. The objective of this analysis was to estimate the number of United States (US) adults with activity-limiting PCC on 1 November 2021. Methods We modeled the prevalence of PCC using reported infections occurring from 1 February 2020 to 30 September 2021, and population-based, household survey data on new activity-limiting symptoms ≥1 month following SARS-CoV-2 infection. From these data sources, we estimated the number and proportion of US adults with activity-limiting PCC on 1 November 2021 as 95% uncertainty intervals, stratified by sex and age. Sensitivity analyses adjusted for underascertainment of infections and uncertainty about symptom duration. Results On 1 November 2021, at least 3.0–5.0 million US adults, or 1.2%–1.9% of the US adult population, were estimated to have activity-limiting PCC of ≥1 month’s duration. Population prevalence was higher in females (1.4%–2.2%) than males. The estimated prevalence after adjusting for underascertainment of infections was 1.7%–3.8%. Conclusions Millions of US adults were estimated to have activity-limiting PCC. These estimates can support future efforts to address the impact of PCC on the US population.

Details

ISSN :
15376613 and 00221899
Volume :
227
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
The Journal of Infectious Diseases
Accession number :
edsair.doi...........76ed9fc1452f58f9ca91dcb0757771be
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiac281