Prediction of Evolution Behaviors of Transportation Hubs Based on Spatiotemporal Neural Network

With the deterioration of the transportation ecosystem and traffic congestion, traffic graph representations become more complex and lack intelligibility. The deep learning method provides a new way for traffic prediction by mining the spatiotemporal relations of historical states in traffic network. Recurrent neural networks based on gate control can avoid the gradient vanishing and graph convolutional networks provide theoretical support for spatial feature extraction of traffic graph. However, in the prediction of traffic evolution behaviors, the statuses of units and groups distributed in the traffic network have strong and continuous spatiotemporal correlations. Modeling only based on the temporal or spatial perspective usually lacks comprehensiveness and semantic relevance which results in poor prediction performance. In this paper, we propose a spatiotemporal hierarchical propagation graph convolutional network(SHPGCN) to get the whole spatiotemporal evolution features of traffic graph, which can be used to predict the propagation effects and state changes of traffic flow. Considered the inadequacy of graph convolution in the learning of hierarchical features, we construct a low-dimensional propagation graph representation that projects complex node relationships into first-order neighborhoods to capture dynamic changes at different spatial and temporal scales. The SHPGCN uses graph convolution to encode the traffic propagation features and embeds them into a bidirectional recurrent sequence for traffic prediction. The experiment results show that SHPGCN can provide good prediction accuracy and robustness for the traffic evolution behaviors.