Variations in Atlantic water influx and sea-ice cover drive taxonomic and functional shifts in Arctic marine bacterial communities

The Arctic Ocean is experiencing unprecedented changes as a result of climate warming, necessitating detailed analyses on the ecology and dynamics of biological communities to understand current and future ecosystem shifts. Here we show the pronounced impact that variations in Atlantic water influx and sea-ice cover have on bacterial communities in the East Greenland Current (Fram Strait) using two, 2-year high-resolution amplicon datasets and an annual cycle of long-read metagenomes. Densely ice-covered polar waters harboured a temporally stable, resident microbiome. In contrast, low-ice cover and Atlantic water influx shifted community dominance to seasonally fluctuating populations enriched in genes for phytoplankton-derived organic matter degradation. We identified signature populations associated with distinct oceanographic conditions and predicted their ecological niches. Our study indicates progressing “Biological Atlantification” in the Arctic Ocean, where the niche space of Arctic bacterial populations will diminish, while communities that taxonomically and functionally resemble those in temperate oceans will become more widespread.