Abstract 15198: Predictors of Adverse Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Heart Failure With Preserved Systolic Function: A Topcat Americas Post Hoc Analysis

Introduction: Presence of atrial fibrillation (AF) is known to increase mortality and impact cardiovascular(CV) outcomes in heart failure (HF) patients (pts) with preserved systolic function (pEF) but its causes are unknown Hypothesis: We hypothesized that AF presentation & clinical factors impact mode of death & CV outcomes of HFpEF pts in the TOPCAT AMERICAS trial. Methods: We analyzed demographic, clinical, ECG and AF presentation as predictors of CV mortality, sudden death( SCD) and pump failure death(PFD). We examined two AF presentations 1. Pts in sinus rhythm (SR, n=1319) compared to pts in AF (n=446) on ECG at study entry or 2. Pts with no AF event by history or ECG ( n=1007 ) compared to those with any AF event (n=760 ) during a mean follow up period of 2.9 years(yrs). Results: AF pts when compared to the rest of the study population were more likely to be older, male, Caucasian origin, have more alcohol use, diabetes, percutaneous coronary interventions. 5 yr CV mortality was higher in pts with AF on ECG (30%) than those in sinus rhythm (18%, p=0.014) but 5 yr SCD was lower (10% in AF on ECG & 7% in any AF) & comparable to SR (7% & 9% respectively, p=ns). 5 yr PFD was higher (13%) than SR (5%, p=0.007. )Table shows Cox proportional hazards analysis of covariates associated with time to CV death, time to SCD & time to PFD adjusted for baseline imbalances. Conclusions:: 1. CV death risk in HFpEF pts increased with age, in minorities, smokers, diabetics, with lower systolic bp, elevated heart rate & AF on ECG.. 2. SCD was more frequent in males, African Americans & diabetics but was low in both AF & SR, perhaps due to a dominant atrial & limited ventricular arrhythmogenic substrate in HFpEF. 3. PFD in HFpEF increased with age, ECG recorded AF & elevated heart rate.This may reflect importance of atrioventricular synchrony in HFpEF. 4. The recording of AF on ECG at study entry was more strongly associated with CV death & PFD, possibly due to greater AF burden in this group compared to those with any AF even..