Increased Two-Hour Post-Load Plasma Glucose Fluctuation Corresponds with Worse Clinical Prognoses among Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients without a History of Diabetes Mellitus

Introduction: This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between 2-h post-load minus fasting plasma glucose (2hPG-FPG) and 1-year clinical outcomes, such as death, stroke recurrence, and modified Rankin Scale (mRS) ≥2–3 among acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients without diabetes mellitus (DM) history. Methods: 1,214 AIS patients without DM history, obtained from ACROSS-China, were divided into 4 quartiles, based on 2hPG-FPG measurements obtained 14 days post-admission. Four models were constructed using multivariate Cox and logistic regression analyses, based on the inclusion of age, gender, trial of ORG 10172 in acute stroke treatment, NIH Stroke Scale scores (model 1), plus 10 other clinical parameters (model 2), plus newly diagnosed DM (NDDM) post-admission (model 3), plus 2hPG and FPG (model 4). Associations found from those 4 models between 2hPG-FPG and 1-year clinical outcomes were confirmed via stratification, multiplicative interaction, sensitivity, and restricted cubic spline analyses. Results: The highest quartile of 2hPG-FPG, after adjusting for variables, such as stroke severity (model 2), was independently associated with death, stroke recurrence, and mRS ≥2–3 (odds ratio [OR] = 3.95, 2.96, 4.15, and 4.83, respectively, all p < 0.0001). Increased 2hPG-FPG remained independently associated with mRS ≥2–3 in models 3–4, as well as increased mRS ≥2 under stratification analyses among both non-NDDM and NDDM patients. Conclusion: 2hPG-FPG is a relatively specific indicator of poorer 1-year clinical prognoses among AIS patients, independent of NDDM, 2hPG, and FPG post-hospital admission. Therefore, the oral glucose tolerance test could be a useful approach for detecting a higher likelihood for developing poorer prognoses among patients without DM history.