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Assessing the robustness of zonal mean climate change detection

Authors :
Simon F. B. Tett
Peter A. Stott
D. E. Parker
Timothy J. Osborn
Phil D. Jones
Gareth S. Jones
Trevor Davies
Myles R. Allen
Peter Thorne
Source :
Geophysical Research Letters. 29:26-1
Publication Year :
2002
Publisher :
American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2002.

Abstract

We assess the robustness of previous optimal detection and attribution studies considering zonal-mean temperatures. Principal results, which have consistently pointed towards a demonstrable anthropogenic influence on recently observed upper air temperatures, are confirmed. Importantly our detection results are not critically dependent on the inclusion of stratospheric as well as tropospheric temperatures. We find that detection is dependent on input field pre-processing choices, and on the choice of detection algorithm. There are a number of cases where either no signals are detected, or results fail a consistency test.

Details

ISSN :
00948276
Volume :
29
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Geophysical Research Letters
Accession number :
edsair.doi...........b97e9909a446c16524d239721ca477cf
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1029/2002gl015717