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Comment: On the History and Limitations of Probability Updating
- Source :
- Statistical Science. 36
- Publication Year :
- 2021
- Publisher :
- Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 2021.
-
Abstract
- Gong and Meng show that we can gain insights into classical paradoxes about conditional probability by acknowledging that apparently precise probabilities live within a larger world of imprecise probability. They also show that the notion of updating becomes problematic in this larger world. A closer look at the historical development of the notion of updating can give us further insights into its limitations.
Details
- ISSN :
- 08834237
- Volume :
- 36
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Statistical Science
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi...........b9d4836e0e486d70acb1089072b1f4cf
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1214/21-sts765a