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Comment: On the History and Limitations of Probability Updating

Authors :
Glenn Shafer
Source :
Statistical Science. 36
Publication Year :
2021
Publisher :
Institute of Mathematical Statistics, 2021.

Abstract

Gong and Meng show that we can gain insights into classical paradoxes about conditional probability by acknowledging that apparently precise probabilities live within a larger world of imprecise probability. They also show that the notion of updating becomes problematic in this larger world. A closer look at the historical development of the notion of updating can give us further insights into its limitations.

Details

ISSN :
08834237
Volume :
36
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Statistical Science
Accession number :
edsair.doi...........b9d4836e0e486d70acb1089072b1f4cf
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1214/21-sts765a