Weight Loss as an Untapped Early Detection Marker in Pancreatic and Periampullary Cancer

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has the worst survival of common cancers, partly because there are no reliable early detection tests. Unintentional weight loss (≥ 5% decrease from baseline) has been linked to PDAC, but the frequency and severity of weight loss using objective measures, and its relationship to prognosis, have not been well characterized. We identified 390 patients with PDAC (all stages) and two or more prediagnosis weights in the electronic medical record. Percentage weight loss in the 365 and 180 days preceding diagnosis was calculated. Results were compared with raw weights of age- and sex-matched non-cancer controls (n = 780). Odds ratios for PDAC were calculated using conditional logistic regression. Cox proportional hazards models were used for survival. Within 1 year of diagnosis, more PDAC patients lost ≥ 5% weight relative to controls (74.9% vs. 11.2%; p