Human Epicardial Adipose Tissue Activin A Expression Predicts Occurrence of Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation in Patients Receiving Cardiac Surgery

Activin A secreted by epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) plays a major role in the progress of atrial fibrosis. However, the potential of Activin A in predicting the occurrence of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) has yet to be elucidated. We aimed to investigate the predicable value of Activin A expression in EAT on POAF.A total of 89 patients receiving cardiac surgery without atrial fibrillation (AF) history were enrolled in this study, including 49 patients with valvular heart disease (VHD) and 40 patients with non-valvular heart disease (NVHD). Activin A expression in EAT was determined by quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR), while the thickness of EAT (EATT) was estimated by echocardiography. New onset POAF before discharge was documented.Eventually 32 patients (36.0%) developed POAF, including 20 patients with VHD (40.8%) and 12 patients with NVHD (30.0%). Activin A expression was higher in POAF than sinus rhythm (SR) patients, whether for VHD or NVHD group (All p0.001). In general, Activin A expression predicted the occurrence of POAF with a sensitivity of 65.6% and specificity of 91.2% (AUC: 0.795; 95%CI: 0.693-0.897, p0.001). Subgroup analysis showed that EATT was not significant for the VHD group in predicting POAF (p=0.07), while Activin A expression demonstrated a sensitivity of 60.0% and specificity of 89.7% (AUC: 0.745; 95%CI: 0.601-0.889, p0.001). Multivariate regression analysis showed that Activin A expression in EAT was an independent risk factor for POAF (OR: OR=1.067, 95%CI:1.002-1.136, p=0.042).Activin A expression in EAT is an independent risk factor for POAF, which can be used for prediction of POAF, especially for patients with VHD.