Meteorological factors in the production of gigantic jets by tropical thunderstorms in Colombia

Gigantic jets are electric discharges that on rare occasions can be seen at night shooting out of the top of tropical thunderclouds, reaching the ionosphere (90 km). Using sensitive camera systems and detection software, we recorded 70 events over northern Colombia and adjacent seas, most of them captured between 2016 and 2022. This is the first study to compare the meteorological background conditions for thunderstorms that produced gigantic jets in 48 nights against 83 reference cases with monitored thunderstorms that did not produce jets, using vertical profiles from ERA5 reanalysis near the event location. From the vertical profiles, various meteorological parameters are calculated, grouped by metrics of the low level convective parcel, instability, humidity, warm cloud and mixed phase parameters, and vertical wind shear, not limited to default levels. We report statistically significant differences and effect sizes (Cohen's d) for gigantic jet producing environments compared to null environments. Gigantic jets are produced in conditions with reduced low level temperatures in combination with warmer mid levels. This causes a lower cloud base and higher -10 °C isotherm altitude, thus a greater warm cloud depth, as well as reduced updraft and downdraft buoyancy. Over northern Colombia the non-GJ producing storms tend to grow in an environment that supports more vigorous, multicellular convection by enhanced low-level storm-relative winds and stronger downdrafts. Over western Colombia, the non-GJ cases tend to have a lower equilibrium level while having favorable warm cloud parameters. No evidence is found for hypotheses that upper level vertical wind shear enables gigantic jet production, nor are overshooting tops larger. The findings can be used for forecasting gigantic jets and their climatologically optimal regions on Earth. We speculate that the environmental conditions shift the droplet size distribution towards larger drops at the cost of cloud droplets, with enhanced droplet shattering ice multiplication processes as they freeze. Depending on convective evolution, low rime accretion rates could briefly expand the negative charge region downward by inverse polarity charging while the upper positive charge concentration may weaken at the same time, which could lead to a temporary negatively imbalanced electric potential distribution in the cloud needed for gigantic jet emission.