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Sensitivity analysis of spatio-temporal models describing nitrogen transfers, transformations and losses at the landscape scale

Authors :
Patrick Durand
Jordi Ferrer Savall
Marie-Luce Taupin
Hervé Monod
Damien Franqueville
Jean-Louis Drouet
Cyril Benhamou
Pierre Barbillon
Ecologie fonctionnelle et écotoxicologie des agroécosystèmes (ECOSYS)
Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-AgroParisTech
Mathématiques et Informatique Appliquées (MIA-Paris)
AgroParisTech-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)
Sol Agro et hydrosystème Spatialisation (SAS)
AGROCAMPUS OUEST-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)
Mathématiques et Informatique Appliquées du Génome à l'Environnement [Jouy-En-Josas] (MaIAGE)
Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)
AGROCAMPUS OUEST
Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)
Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-AGROCAMPUS OUEST
Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)
Source :
Environmental Modelling and Software, Environmental Modelling and Software, Elsevier, 2019, 111, pp.356-367. ⟨10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.09.010⟩
Publication Year :
2019
Publisher :
HAL CCSD, 2019.

Abstract

International audience; Modelling complex systems such as agroecosystems often requires the quantification of a large number of input factors. Sensitivity analyses are useful to fix the appropriate spatial and temporal resolution of models and to reduce the number of factors to be measured or estimated accurately. Comprehensive spatial and dynamic sensitivity analyses were applied to the NitroScape model, a deterministic spatially distributed model describing nitrogen transfers and transformations in rural landscapes. Simulations were led on a virtual landscape that represented five years of intensive farm management and covering an area of 3 $km^2$. Cluster analyses were applied to summarize the results of the sensitivity analysis on the ensemble of model outcomes. The 29 studied output variables were split into five different clusters that grouped outcomes with similar response to input factors. Among the 11 studied factors, model outcomes were mainly sensitive to the inputs characterizing the type of fertilization and the hydrological features of soils. The total amount of nitrogen in the catchment discharge was the type of nitrogen used in fertilization, while nitrogen concentration in catchment discharge was mainly driven by soil porosity and lateral water transmissivity. The vertical resolution of the model had a significant impact on the ammonium surface content and on the nitrate groundwater concentration, while the model horizontal resolution had a significant impact on the dynamic and spatial distributions of model outcomes, but it did not significantly affect nitrogen variables when they were spatially- and temporally-aggregated. The methodology we applied should prove useful to synthesise sensitivity analyses of models with multiple space-time input and output variables.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
13648152
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Environmental Modelling and Software, Environmental Modelling and Software, Elsevier, 2019, 111, pp.356-367. ⟨10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.09.010⟩
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....08647c80d26106d72facf88b43a88928
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.09.010⟩