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When climate change predictions are right for the wrong reasons
- Source :
- Climatic Change. 142(1-2):1-6
- Publisher :
- Springer Nature
-
Abstract
- Just over 40 years ago, I wrote a paper entitled “Climate change: Are we on the brink of a pronounced global warming?” In it, I attempted to explain why despite a rise in the atmosphere’s CO2 content there had been no significant warming. I predicted that a natural cooling was about to give way to a warming, and that industrial emissions of CO2 would amplify this warming. The paper published in Science in 1975. Warming did follow in 1976–1977. However, a retrospective look shows that my analysis was flawed. What is more—and to my chagrin—based on the words “global warming” in my Science paper, I was given the title “Father of Global Warming.” Not only did I not like this title, I had done little to merit it.
- Subjects :
- Atmospheric Science
Global and Planetary Change
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences
Global warming
Climate change
01 natural sciences
Camp Century
Natural (archaeology)
Atmosphere
North Atlantic oscillation
Climateprediction.net
Climatology
0103 physical sciences
Environmental science
010303 astronomy & astrophysics
Pacific decadal oscillation
0105 earth and related environmental sciences
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 01650009
- Volume :
- 142
- Issue :
- 1-2
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Climatic Change
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....086dec778726a8fff3184eb2cecfc681
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-017-1927-y