Predictive value of 1 month retinal nerve fiber layer thinning for deficits at 6 months after acute optic neuritis

Background: Retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) loss occurs with multiple sclerosis and after optic neuritis. Vision or RNFL changes at presentation of optic neuritis are not predictive of outcome, but vision loss at 1 month correlates with vision deficits at 6 months. We hypothesized that RFNL thinning at 1 month would predict RNFL loss at 6 months. Methods: We prospectively studied the RNFL by optical coherence tomography (OCT) and scanning laser polarimetry (SLP), and determined the threshold field mean deviation, in 25 subjects with acute optic neuritis over a 6-month period. RNFL values, including the amount of thinning at 1-month, were correlated with 6-month outcome. Results: Baseline visual performance and RNFL values were similar for eyes grouped by 1 month RNFL thinning. Eyes with 1 month RNFL thinning had greater and significant RNFL thinning at 6 months, for all quadrants by OCT and for the nasal and inferior quadrants by SLP. RNFL thinning by OCT and SLP at 1 month correlated with 6-month OCT ( r = 0.58; p = 0.006) and SLP ( r = 0.59; p = 0.002) RNFL thinning, respectively. Conclusion: Early RNFL loss at 1 month was predictive of the RNFL thinning at 6 months, which corroborated the importance of the 1-month time point for predicting the outcome of an optic neuritis attack.