Back to Search Start Over

Probabilistic-statistical models of the dynamics of climatic changes in the Altai Mountains

Authors :
V V Zuev
D V Ovchinnikov
V N Ustinova
A V Kirdjanov
S L Bondarenko
I G Ustinova
Source :
IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science. 211:012025
Publication Year :
2018
Publisher :
IOP Publishing, 2018.

Abstract

A probabilistic-statistical parameterization of time series characterizing geological and climatic processes allows determining some regularities by an autocorrelation analysis of signals which differ in nature. The use of the autocorrelation method for analyzing data related to solar and tectonic activity and characterizing the level of stratospheric ozone (total ozone content), hydrothermal regimes (De Martonne aridity index), and wood structure (maximum density of annual rings) allows us to find regularities in time series of various natural processes. Data on the maximum density of Siberian larch trees growing in the Altai Mountains made it possible to calculate the past changes in total ozone content and the aridity index in the Altai Mountains from 1900 to 2014 based on some similarities in the series and a separation of a dendrochronological signal into its main components.

Details

ISSN :
17551315
Volume :
211
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....21d8ce50bd729bad13a554753bce59e1
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/211/1/012025