Tumor mutation burden is correlated with response and prognosis in microsatellite-stable (MSS) gastric cancer patients undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) before radical gastrectomy is preferred for locally advanced gastric cancer (GC). However, clinical practices demonstrate that a considerable proportion of GC patients do not benefit from NACT, largely due to the lack of biomarkers for patient selection and prognosis prediction. A recent study revealed that patients with microsatellite instability-high (MSI-H) may be resistant to NACT, however, most tumors in Chinese GC patients (~ 95%) are characterized by microsatellite stability (MSS). Here, we aimed to discover new molecular biomarkers for this larger population. We performed whole-exome sequencing on 46 clinical samples (pre- and post-treatment) from 30 stage II/III MSS GC patients whose response to NACT was rigorously defined. Serum tumor markers (TMs), including AFP, CEA, CA199, CA724 and CA242 were measured during the course. High tumor mutation burden (TMB-H) and 19q12 amplification (19q12 +) were positively associated with the NACT response. When TMB and 19q12 amplification were jointly analyzed, those with TMB-H or 19q12 + showed favorable response to NACT (p = 0.035). Further, TMB-H was negatively correlated with ypN stage, lymph node metastasis, and macrophage infiltration. Patients with TMB-H showed better disease-free survival (DFS) than those with TMB-L (P = 0.025, HR = 0.1331), and this was further validated using two larger GC datasets: TCGA-STAD (p = 0.004) and ICGC-CN (p = 0.045). The combination of TMB-H and 19q12 + can serve as an early indicator of response to NACT. Superior to traditional clinical indicators, TMB-H is a robust and easily accessible candidate biomarker associated with better DFS, and can be evaluated at the time of diagnosis.