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Dataset and code from: 'The impact of reduced African emissions on projected local rainfall changes'

Authors :
Shindell, Drew
Parsons, Luke
Faluvegi, Greg
Hick, Kevin
Kuylenstierna, Johan
Heaps, Charles
Publication Year :
2023
Publisher :
Zenodo, 2023.

Abstract

Python code and datasets to plot figures from manuscript. Abstract Africa is highly vulnerable to climate change but emits a small portion of global greenhouse gases. Additionally, decarbonization might lead to a ‘climate penalty’ whereby reductions in cooling aerosols offset temperature benefits from CO2 reductions for several decades. However, climate change impacts conditions other than temperatures, including precipitation. Using the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies climate model, we find that although African emissions cuts have weak impacts on projected African temperatures, they significantly impact rainfall. Whereas business-as-usual increasing emissions lead to substantial drying over tropical Northern Africa during local summer, that drying is essentially eliminated under a sustainable development pathway. The reduction in cooling aerosols is responsible for ~33-90% of the avoided drying in our model, with the remainder largely attributable to reduced absorbing aerosols. African policy choices may therefore greatly reduce regional African summer drying, giving parts of Africa substantial leverage over their own climate and air quality future.

Details

Language :
English
Database :
OpenAIRE
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....41640a011556b5dc3b04f4a4a5345b6b
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7897050