A novel metabolic gene signature-based nomogram to predict overall survival in breast cancer

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer risk prediction is often based on clinicopathological characteristics despite the high heterogeneity derived from gene expression. Metabolic alteration is a hallmark of cancer, and thus, the integration of a metabolic signature with clinical parameters is necessary to predict disease outcomes in breast cancers. METHODS: Metabolic genes were downloaded from the Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) dataset. Genes with statistical significance in the univariate analysis were applied in the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis to build a gene signature in the GSE20685 dataset. Clinicopathological characteristics and risk scores with prognostic significance were incorporated into the nomogram to predict the overall survival (OS) of patients. The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and GSE866166 datasets were used as the validation datasets. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (tROC) curves and calibration plots were used to assess the accuracy and discrimination of the model. RESULTS: A 55-gene metabolic gene signature (MGS) was constructed, and was significantly related to OS both in the discovery (P