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Creation and Validation of a Novel Sex‐Specific Mortality Risk Score in LVAD Recipients
- Source :
- Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease
- Publication Year :
- 2021
- Publisher :
- Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health), 2021.
-
Abstract
- Background Prior studies have shown that women have worse 3‐month survival after receiving a left ventricular assist device compared with men. Currently used prognostic scores, including the Heartmate II Risk Score, do not account for the increased residual risk in women. We used the IMACS (International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support) registry to create and validate a sex‐specific risk score for early mortality in left ventricular assist device recipients. Methods and Results Adult patients with a continuous‐flow LVAD from the IMACS registry were randomly divided into a derivation cohort (DC; n=9113; 21% female) and a validation cohort (VC; n=6074; 21% female). The IMACS Risk Score was developed in the DC to predict 3‐month mortality, from preoperative candidate predictors selected using the Akaike information criterion, or significant sex × variable interaction. In the DC, age, cardiogenic shock at implantation, body mass index, blood urea nitrogen, bilirubin, hemoglobin, albumin, platelet count, left ventricular end‐diastolic diameter, tricuspid regurgitation, dialysis, and major infection before implantation were retained as significant predictors of 3‐month mortality. There was significant ischemic heart failure × sex and platelet count × sex interaction. For each quartile increase in IMACS risk score, men (odds ratio [OR], 1.86; 95% CI, 1.74–2.00; P P P Conclusions A sex‐specific risk score provides excellent risk prediction in LVAD recipients.
- Subjects :
- Male
medicine.medical_specialty
medicine.medical_treatment
risk score
030204 cardiovascular system & hematology
Risk Assessment
03 medical and health sciences
Sex Factors
0302 clinical medicine
Risk Factors
Internal medicine
left ventricular assist device
medicine
Humans
sex disparity
Registries
030212 general & internal medicine
Sex Distribution
Original Research
Aged
Retrospective Studies
Heart Failure
Cardiovascular Surgery
Framingham Risk Score
Receiver operating characteristic
business.industry
Cardiogenic shock
Odds ratio
Middle Aged
medicine.disease
mortality
United States
Survival Rate
Residual risk
ROC Curve
Quartile
Ventricular assist device
Cardiology
Female
prognosis
Heart-Assist Devices
Mortality/Survival
Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine
business
Body mass index
Follow-Up Studies
Subjects
Details
- ISSN :
- 20479980
- Volume :
- 10
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Journal of the American Heart Association
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....4eba3feaac3dd8b716534f196e78a481
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1161/jaha.120.020019