Elevated one hour with normal fasting and 2 h plasma glucose helps to identify those at risk for development of Type2 Diabetes-11 years observational study from south India

Aims To compare conversion rates of diabetes in subjects with elevated 1 h plasma glucose (1hrPG) during an OGTT with normal glucose tolerance(NGT) subjects over a period of 11 years. Methods 4023 subjects were selected from electronic data base of medical records.233 subjects who were followed up for a period of 11 years were included.160 with isolated prediabetes and their combinations were excluded.The remaining 73 were categorized into group1 NGT (n = 37) and group-2 (n = 36) with elevated 1hrPG.Kaplan Meier curves for incident diabetes and Cox proportional hazard model were compared between groups. Results During follow up, 10.8% and 44.4% converted to DM in group1 and group2 (p = 0.003). Elevated 1hrPG was associated with incident diabetes(HR 7.9[95%CI 2.2–28.1](p = 0.001)provided better risk assessment.The adjusted risk of event in subjects with elevated 1hrPG is likely to be 7 times more when compared to NGT.Subjects with elevated1hrPG remained free of diabetes for a median period of 7.6 years (95% CI 5.8–7.8) whereas NGT subjects remained free for 10 years (95% CI 8.5–10.0) (p Conclusion In conclusion, conversion to DM was higher and risk was 7 times more in subjects with elevated 1hrPG. Elevated 1hrPG during OGTT has to be considered as a distinct entity.