Prognostic performance of critical care scores in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation

Background Critical care management of patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is a major determinant of their outcome. Aims The aim of this study was to compare the prognostic performance of four general scoring systems [Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE), Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), and MultiOrgan Dysfunction (MOD) scores] in TAVI patients. Methods Between 1 June 2008 and 30 June 2014, 75 patients (81.2 ± 6.4 years old, 36 men and 39 women) who underwent TAVI were scored during the first 24 h of their stay at the intensive care unit (ICU). The outcome measures were in-hospital and 30-day mortality and in-hospital and 30-day morbidity defined as myocardial infarction, implantation of permanent pacemaker, stroke, tamponade, major bleeding, vascular access site complications and prolonged ventilation. Results Four patients (5.3%) died in ICU and one more during follow-up, indicating a 30-day mortality rate of 6.6%. Regarding in-hospital mortality, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.92 for SAPS II, 0.88 for APACHE II, 0.73 for MODS and 0.74 for SOFA. Regarding 30 day-mortality, SAPS II and APACHE II performed equally higher (AUC = 0.88) than the other two scores (0.79 for MODS and 0.80 for SOFA). SAPS II had the best calibration among all four scores for in-hospital and 30-day mortality ( χ2 = 3.06 and χ2 = 3.29, respectively). AUCs for in-hospital and 30-day morbidity were above 0.7 for SAPS II and APACHE II. Conclusions SAPS II and APACHE II are reliable mortality and morbidity risk stratification models for TAVI patients with high calibration and discrimination.