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Economic drivers of volatility and correlation in precious metal markets

Authors :
Dinh, Theu
Goutte, Stéphane
Nguyen, Duc Khuong
Walther, Thomas
Finance
UU LEG Research UUSE Multidisciplinary Economics
Finance
UU LEG Research UUSE Multidisciplinary Economics
SOUtenabilité et RésilienCE (SOURCE)
Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD [France-Nord])
Paris School of Business (PSB)
HESAM Université - Communauté d'universités et d'établissements Hautes écoles Sorbonne Arts et métiers université (HESAM)
IPAG Business School
Source :
Journal of Commodity Markets, 28, 1. Elsevier
Publication Year :
2022

Abstract

We investigate the time-varying dynamics of the precious metal markets. We employ a mixed data sampling technique to identify the impact of macroeconomic and financial drivers from G7 and BRICS countries on the daily volatility and pairwise correlation of gold, silver, platinum, and palladium. We find that the U.S. and Chinese economies especially influence the precious metal markets, but in opposite directions. Besides, the stock markets and trade balance of both G7 and BRICS countries as well as the consumer confidence of G7 countries are the key drivers for the volatility of precious metals. The most influential drivers for correlation are stock markets, money supply, and the inflation rate. Surprisingly, the economic policy uncertainty does not affect the dynamics as much as expected. Lastly, the global financial crisis 2008 affected the direction of most of the macroeconomic and financial drivers.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
24058513
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Journal of Commodity Markets, 28, 1. Elsevier
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....697500580dce2c19b5d2b9f69c8e0d46