Three-variate longitudinal patterns of metabolic control, Body Mass Index, and insulin dose during puberty in a Type 1 diabetes cohort: a group-based multitrajectory analysis

Objective To analyze the interrelationship of metabolic control, age- and sex-adjusted body mass index, and daily insulin dose and to identify heterogeneous multivariate developmental curves from childhood to young adulthood in a large cohort of children with type 1 diabetes (T1D) Study design Data were extracted from the diabetes follow-up registry DPV. Longitudinal data from 9239 participants with T1D age 8-18 years with diabetes duration ≥2 years and ≥5 years of follow-up were analyzed. We applied group-based multitrajectory modeling to identify latent groups of subjects following similar developmental curves across outcomes (hemoglobin A1c [HbA1c], age/sex-standardized body mass index [BMI-SDS], daily insulin dose per kg). Group number was based on Bayes information criterion and group size (≥5%). Results The group-based multitrajectory approach revealed 5 heterogeneous 3-variate trajectories during puberty. Individuals with stable good metabolic control, high-normal increasing BMI-SDS, and rising insulin dose patterns were classified as group 1 (33%). Group 2 (20%) comprised youths with intermediate-increasing HbA1c, low BMI-SDS, and steeply increasing insulin dose trajectories. Group 3 (11%) followed intermediate-rising HbA1c and high-normal increasing BMI-SDS developmental curves, while insulin dose increased steeply. In group 4 (14%), both high-increasing HbA1c and insulin dose trajectories were observed, while BMI-SDS was stable-normal. Group 5 (22%) included subjects with intermediate-rising HbA1c patterns, high-increasing BMI-SDS, and increasing insulin dose patterns. Conclusions This study identified 5 distinct 3-variate curves of HbA1c, BMI-SDS, and insulin dose during puberty among youths with T1D. This approach demonstrates a considerable heterogeneity highlighting the importance of personalized medical care.