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Campylobacter monitoring in German broiler flocks: an explorative time series analysis
- Source :
- Zoonoses and public health. 56(3)
- Publication Year :
- 2008
-
Abstract
- Campylobacter, a major zoonotic pathogen, displays seasonality in poultry and in humans. In order to identify temporal patterns in the prevalence of thermophilic Campylobacter spp. in a voluntary monitoring programme in broiler flocks in Germany and in the reported human incidence, time series methods were used. The data originated between May 2004 and June 2007. By the use of seasonal decomposition, autocorrelation and cross-correlation functions, it could be shown that an annual seasonality is present. However, the peak month differs between sample submission, prevalence in broilers and human incidence. Strikingly, the peak in human campylobacterioses preceded the peak in broiler prevalence in Lower Saxony rather than occurring after it. Significant cross-correlations between monthly temperature and prevalence in broilers as well as between human incidence, monthly temperature, rainfall and wind-force were identified. The results highlight the necessity to quantify the transmission of Campylobacter from broiler to humans and to include climatic factors in order to gain further insight into the epidemiology of this zoonotic disease.
- Subjects :
- medicine.medical_specialty
Veterinary medicine
Time Factors
Epidemiology
Campylobacteriosis
Biology
medicine.disease_cause
law.invention
Disease Outbreaks
law
Germany
Zoonoses
Campylobacter Infections
medicine
Prevalence
Animals
Humans
Weather
Poultry Diseases
General Veterinary
General Immunology and Microbiology
Incidence (epidemiology)
Campylobacter
Incidence
Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
Broiler
Seasonality
medicine.disease
Infectious Diseases
Transmission (mechanics)
Flock
Public Health
Seasons
Chickens
Sentinel Surveillance
Subjects
Details
- ISSN :
- 18631959
- Volume :
- 56
- Issue :
- 3
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Zoonoses and public health
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....82429582fe1ae21bfa50d8373231eb50