Lead Levels at the Tap and Consumer Exposure from Legacy and Recent Lead Service Line Replacements in Six Utilities

Profile, regulatory, and investigative sampling were completed in six utilities to study the impact of partial and full lead service line replacements (LSLRs) on water lead levels (WLLs) and consumer's exposure. As compared to households with no replacement, lead release after partial LSLR (PLSLR) was generally greater in the short term (3-50 days), and comparable or lower in the medium (2 years) and long-term (2 years). This was mainly explained by insufficient time elapsed to stabilize scales after disturbances to the service line. One utility showed sustained lead release over 18 months after PLSLR. Moreover, the reduction in WLLs was small when analyzing results for the same households. As a comparison, full LSLR decreased WLLs drastically and immediately. The occurrence of low (0-5 μg/L) to high (≥50 μg/L) WLLs in the profiles varied between households and reflected the variability of exposure among households in the same system. Using this probability of occurrence, the distribution of WLLs of exposure was estimated for households with or without a PLSLR, and used to model young children blood lead levels (BLLs) for both groups of households. The range of modeled BLLs decreased slightly for households with PLSLR, but still overlapped the range estimated for households with no replacement. This analysis suggests that, in a system, PLSLRs do not reduce young children blood lead levels except in a fraction of households.