A Modified Classification of Prognostic Factors Based on Pathological Stage and Tumor Regression Grade in Patients with Rectal Cancer Who Receive Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy

Objective: The histologic response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) has been intimately related to outcomes in locally advanced rectal cancer. However, reliable prognostic factors have yet to be established. Subjects and Methods: The study group comprised 198 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who received CRT. A modified classification based on the combination of ypStage and tumor regression grade (TRG) was developed. ypStage II with TRG 2 was classified as ypTRGstage IIA, and ypStage II with TRG 3 or 4 was classified as ypTRGstage IIB. ypStage 0 and ypStage I were classified as ypTRGstage I, and ypStage III was classified as ypTRGstage III. Results: The 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) was 83% in ypTRGstage I, 86% in ypTRGstage IIA, 57% in ypTRGstage IIB, and 60% in ypTRGstage III (p = 0.0001). The 5-year DFS in ypTRGstage IIA did not differ significantly from that in ypStage 0 (p = 0.865) or ypStage I (p = 0.585). The 5-year DFS in ypStage IIB did not differ from that in ypStage III (p = 0.912). Multivariate analysis showed that ypTRGstage was an independent risk factor for DFS. Conclusion: A modified classification allows patients with ypStage II locally advanced rectal cancer to be clearly divided into two groups: responders and nonresponders.