Growth Response of Red Oaks to Climatic Conditions in the Lower Mississippi Alluvial Valley: Implications for Bottomland Hardwood Restoration with a Changing Climate

Bottomland hardwood forests (BHFs) offer a wide range of ecosystem services that are of high environmental and socioeconomic value. Yet, nearly 70% of BHFs in the southern United States have been lost during the past 100 years primarily due to land use change including agricultural expansion, calling for restoration efforts. We estimated the statistical relationship of the annual radial growth rate of three red oak species with climatic conditions and tree age using the tree ring data collected from a BHF plantation in the Arkansas Delta region. These species were Cherry bark oak (Quercus pagoda), Shumard oak (Quercus shumardii), and Nuttall oak (Quercus texana). The destructive sampling method was employed to obtain tree growth data and the cross-dating method was used for tree age determination. A log-linear regression model was estimated to uncover the statistical relationship between annual tree ring growth rate and climatic conditions. We identified the most critical time windows of climate variables that affect the growth of these trees. We found that the average temperature in October of the previous year and the minimum temperature between December of the previous year and January of the current year were positively associated with the radial growth rate in the current year although the maximum temperature from January to August and total precipitation from April to July of the current year were negatively correlated with the growth rate. Compared to Cherry bark and Shumard oaks, Nuttall oak was less sensitive to a rise in the minimum temperature between December and January. The projected climate change is likely to create slightly more favorable overall climatic conditions for these oak species in the region. Our findings suggest that these three red oak species are well suited for the study region for restoring BHFs, especially with a changing climate.