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Achieving net-zero emissions targets:An analysis of long-term scenarios using an integrated assessment model
- Source :
- Dafnomilis, I, den Elzen, M & van Vuuren, D P 2023, ' Achieving net-zero emissions targets : An analysis of long-term scenarios using an integrated assessment model ', Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, vol. 1522, no. 1, pp. 98-108 . https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14970, Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1522(1), 98. Blackwell Publishing Inc., Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1522(1), 98-108. Wiley-Blackwell
- Publication Year :
- 2023
-
Abstract
- More than 100 countries have communicated or adopted new Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and net-zero target pledges. We investigate the impact on global, national, sectoral, and individual greenhouse gas emissions projections under different scenarios based on the announced NDCs and net-zero pledges using the IMAGE integrated assessment model. Our results show that while the net-zero pledges, if implemented, could be an important step forward, they are still not enough to achieve the Paris Agreement goals of well below 2°C and preferably 1.5°C by the end of the century. Still, our net-zero scenarios project significant all-sector decarbonization, in particular, electricity; however, certain sectors like industry and transport prove hard to completely abate.
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 00778923
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Dafnomilis, I, den Elzen, M & van Vuuren, D P 2023, ' Achieving net-zero emissions targets : An analysis of long-term scenarios using an integrated assessment model ', Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, vol. 1522, no. 1, pp. 98-108 . https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14970, Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1522(1), 98. Blackwell Publishing Inc., Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1522(1), 98-108. Wiley-Blackwell
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....b930efcd86f58f72afa4ffeec4890cf9