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Climate Change and Social Unrest: A 6,000‐Year Chronicle From the Eastern Mediterranean
- Source :
- Geophysical Research Letters, Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union, 2020, 47 (7), ⟨10.1029/2020GL087496⟩, Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, 47 (7), ⟨10.1029/2020GL087496⟩
- Publication Year :
- 2020
- Publisher :
- HAL CCSD, 2020.
-
Abstract
- International audience; The history of the Eastern Mediterranean is punctuated by major crises that have influenced many of the region's established socioeconomic models. Recent studies have underscored the role of drought and temperature oscillations in driving changes but attempts to quantify their magnitude remain equivocal, hindering long‐term assessments of the potential interplay between climate and society. Here, we fill this knowledge gap using a 6,000‐year pollen‐based reconstruction of temperature and precipitation from Hala Sultan Tekke, Cyprus. We find that major social changes and plague outbreaks often occurred in tandem with cooler climate conditions, with anomalies ranging from −3 ± 0.4 °C to −1 ± 0.5 °C, coupled with changing precipitation patterns. We suggest that major climate changes may weaken societies by affecting primary livelihood systems. This long‐term view highlights recurrent cold periods in the Eastern Mediterranean's climate history and advocates that, despite frequent adversity and pandemics, Near Eastern populations adapted and were ultimately resilient to major climate changes
- Subjects :
- Mediterranean climate
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences
Ecology
[SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes
Social change
Climate change
15. Life on land
010502 geochemistry & geophysics
Livelihood
Plague (disease)
01 natural sciences
Eastern mediterranean
Geophysics
Geography
13. Climate action
[SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology
General Earth and Planetary Sciences
Precipitation
sense organs
Holocene
0105 earth and related environmental sciences
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 00948276 and 19448007
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Geophysical Research Letters, Geophysical Research Letters, American Geophysical Union, 2020, 47 (7), ⟨10.1029/2020GL087496⟩, Geophysical Research Letters, 2020, 47 (7), ⟨10.1029/2020GL087496⟩
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....bc44634bb26eb5dacdf169b86b6c9737
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087496⟩