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Reaction to ‘An Approach to Perform Expert Elicitation for Engineering Design Risk Analysis: Methodology and Experimental Results’

Authors :
John Quigley
Roger M. Cooke
Alessandra Babuscia
Kar-Ming Cheung
Taposhri Ganguly
Kevin J. Wilson
Source :
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society. 177:981-985
Publication Year :
2014
Publisher :
Oxford University Press (OUP), 2014.

Abstract

This letter a. rectifies misrepresentations of the classical model b. identifies methodological shortcomings in the authors's approach and c. compares performance of the authors' "calibration weighting" with equal weights and global weights of the classical model on the large expert judgement data set made available in (Cooke and Goossens 2008)

Details

ISSN :
1467985X and 09641998
Volume :
177
Database :
OpenAIRE
Journal :
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society
Accession number :
edsair.doi.dedup.....c1bfdcb3d3bb37df23d15aa376e552b6
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12070