Prediction of Changes in Tumor Regression during Radiotherapy for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma by Using the Computed Tomography-Based Radiomics

This work aimed to explore the application value of computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics in predicting changes in tumor regression during radiotherapy for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. In this work, 144 patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma who underwent concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in our hospital from January 2015 to December 2021 were selected. The patients were divided into a radiosensitive group (79 cases) and an insensitive group (65 cases) according to the tumor volume shrinkage during radiotherapy. The 3D Slicer 4.10.2 software was used to delineate the tumor region of interest (ROI), and a total of 1223 radiomics features were extracted using the radiomics module under the software. After between-group and within-group consistency tests, one-way ANOVA, and LASSO dimensionality reduction, three omics features were finally selected for the establishment of predictive models. At the same time, the age, gender, tumor T stage and N stage, hemoglobin, and albumin of the patients were collected to establish a clinical prediction model. The results showed that compared with logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, and AdaBoost models, the SVM model based on CT radiomics features had the best performance in predicting tumor regression changes during tumor radiotherapy (training group area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC): 0.840 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.764–0.916); validation group: AUC: 0.810 (95% CI: 0.676–0.944)). Compared with the supported vector machine (SVM) prediction model based on clinical features, the SVM model based on radiomics features had better performance in predicting the change of retraction during tumor radiotherapy (training group: omics feature SVM model AUC: 0.84, clinical feature SVM model: 0.78; validation group: omics feature SVM model AUC: 0.8, clinical feature SVM model: 0.58, P = 0.044). Based on the radiomics characteristics and clinical characteristics of patients, a nomo prediction map was established, and the calibration curve shows good consistency, which can be visualized to assist clinical judgment. In this work, the prediction model composed of CT-based radiomic features combined with clinical features can accurately predict withdrawal changes during tumor radiotherapy, ensuring the accuracy of treatment planning, and minimizing the number of CT scans during radiotherapy.