Predictive Value of [18F]FDG PET/CT for Lymph Node Metastasis in Rectal Cancer

[18F]Fluorodeoxyglucose ([18F]FDG) Positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) is commonly used for rectal cancer staging, but improved diagnostic methods for nodal metastases are needed. We aimed to evaluate whether the combination model of the metabolic tumor volume of primary tumor (T_MTV) and maximum standardized uptake value of lymph node (N_SUVmax) on pretreatment [18F]FDG PET/CT could improve nodal metastases prediction in rectal cancer. We enrolled a total of 166 rectal cancer patients who underwent pretreatment [18F]FDG PET/CT and surgical resection without neoadjuvant treatment between January 2009 and August 2016. Visual and semiquantitative PET/CT parameters were obtained. Associations between clinicopathological, PET/CT-derived variables and nodal metastases were evaluated by logistic regression analysis. Nodal metastases were confirmed histologically in 68 of the 166 patients (41%). Uni- and multivariate analyses demonstrated T_MTV and N_SUVmax were independent predictive factors for nodal metastases. The c-statistics of the combination model was 0.806 (Standard Error, 0.034; 95% Confidence Interval, 0.737–0.863), which showed significant improvement compared to T_MTV (0.698, P = 0.0002) or N_SUVmax (0.720, P = 0.0008) alone. T_MTV and N_SUVmax are independently correlated with nodal metastases. Furthermore, the combination model showed improved performance for risk prediction; thus, [18F]FDG PET/CT might have a role in rectal cancer staging and treatment planning.