Prediction of Busulfan Clearance by Predose Plasma Metabolomic Profiling

Intravenous (IV) busulfan doses are often personalized to a target plasma exposure (targeted busulfan) using an individual's busulfan clearance (BuCL). We evaluated whether BuCL could be predicted by a predose plasma panel of 841 endogenous metabolomic compounds (EMCs). In this prospective cohort of 132 hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) patients, all had samples collected immediately before to busulfan administration (preBU) and 96 had samples collected two weeks before busulfan (2-week-preBU). BuCL was significantly associated with 37 EMCs after univariate linear regression analysis and controlling for false discovery (0.05) in the 132 preBU samples. In parallel, with preBU samples, we included all 841 EMCs in a Lasso penalized regression which selected 13 EMCs as predominantly associated with BuCL. Then, we constructed a prediction model by estimating coefficients for these 13 EMCs, along with sex, using ordinary least-squares. When the resulting linear prediction model was applied to the 2-week-preBU samples, it explained 40% of the variation in BuCL (adjusted R