Trend in ventricle size during pregnancy and its use for prediction of ventriculoperitoneal shunt in fetal open neural tube defect

OBJECTIVES Fetal surgery for repair of open neural tube defect (ONTD) typically results in decreased need for a ventriculoperitoneal shunt (VPS). Our objectives were to determine the trend in ventricle size (VS) during pregnancy and whether VS and change in VS, as assessed by ultrasound, were predictive of the need for VPS in pregnancy with ONTD. METHODS This was a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data of consecutive pregnancies with ONTD, evaluated in a single center from January 2012 to May 2018. Two groups were identified: the first consisted of pregnancies that underwent in-utero repair (IUR) and the second those that had postnatal repair (PNR). Penalized B splines were used to determine the trend in VS, across 2-week gestational-age (GA) epochs, between 24 and 36 weeks of gestation. VS at each GA epoch and the change in VS between each GA epoch were compared between the IUR and PNR groups. To determine whether VS at any GA was predictive of VPS, receiver-operating-characteristics (ROC) curves were used and the optimal cut-off at each GA epoch was identified. Univariate analysis and multiple logistic regression were used for further analysis. RESULTS ONTD was diagnosed in 110 fetuses, of whom 69 underwent IUR and 41 had PNR. Fetuses in the IUR group were more likely to have Chiari II malformation (100.0% vs 82.9%; P