Survival curves of Listeria monocytogenes in chorizos modeled with artificial neural networks

Using artificial neural networks (ANNs), a highly accurate model was developed to simulate survival curves of Listeria monocytogenes in chorizos as affected by the initial water activity (a(w0)) of the sausage formulation, temperature (T), and air inflow velocity (F) where the sausages are stored. The ANN-based survival model (R(2)=0.970) outperformed the regression-based cubic model (R(2)=0.851), and as such was used to derive other models (using regression) that allow prediction of the times needed to drop count by 1, 2, 3, and 4 logs (i.e., nD-values, n=1, 2, 3, 4). The nD-value regression models almost perfectly predicted the various times derived from a number of simulated survival curves exhibiting a wide variety of the operating conditions (R(2)=0.990-0.995). The nD-values were found to decrease with decreasing a(w0), and increasing T and F. The influence of a(w0) on nD-values seems to become more significant at some critical value of a(w0), below which the variation is negligible (0.93 for 1D-value, 0.90 for 2D-value, and