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Volatility estimation using a rational GARCH model
- Source :
- Quantitative Finance and Economics, Vol 2, Iss 1, Pp 127-136 (2018), Quantitative Finance and Economics, Vol 2, Iss 1, Pp 612-621 (2018)
- Publication Year :
- 2018
- Publisher :
- American Institute of Mathematical Sciences (AIMS), 2018.
-
Abstract
- The rational GARCH (RGARCH) model has been proposed as an alternative GARCHmodel that captures the asymmetric property of volatility. In addition to the previously proposedRGARCH model, we propose an alternative RGARCH model called the RGARCH-Exp model thatis more stable when dealing with outliers. We measure the performance of the volatility estimationby a loss function calculated using realized volatility as a proxy for true volatility and compare theRGARCH-type models with other asymmetric type models such as the EGARCH and GJR models.We conduct empirical studies of six stocks on the Tokyo Stock Exchange and find that a volatilityestimation using the RGARCH-type models outperforms the GARCH model and is comparable toother asymmetric GARCH models.
- Subjects :
- Realized variance
Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity
Metropolis-Hastings algorithm
Bayesian inference
01 natural sciences
010305 fluids & plasmas
realized volatility
QLIKE loss function
Stock exchange
Padé approximants
lcsh:Finance
lcsh:HG1-9999
0502 economics and business
0103 physical sciences
Econometrics
asymmetric volatility| rational GARCH model| bayesian inference| Markov ChainMonte Carlo| Metropolis-Hastings algorithm| realized volatility| Padé approximants| student-tdistribution| QLIKE loss function
asymmetric volatility
Mathematics
050208 finance
bayesian inference
lcsh:T57-57.97
05 social sciences
General Medicine
rational GARCH model
Metropolis–Hastings algorithm
Markov ChainMonte Carlo
student-tdistribution
lcsh:Applied mathematics. Quantitative methods
Outlier
Volatility (finance)
Subjects
Details
- ISSN :
- 25730134
- Volume :
- 2
- Database :
- OpenAIRE
- Journal :
- Quantitative Finance and Economics
- Accession number :
- edsair.doi.dedup.....ec46406349a0c7feee8012009fd24dfe
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.3934/qfe.2018.1.127