Old wine in new bottles: a review and analysis of the long shields model- a traditional concept adapted to mitigate human-lion conflict

Conflict with humans over livestock is a major threat to lion (Panthera leo) populations across their range in Africa. Lions kill livestock, a major source of livelihood for marginalised communities, and farmers kill lions in return. How to effectively mitigate this conflict remains a major conservation challenge till this day. In this thesis, I evaluate the effectiveness of the Long Shields Community Guardian programme (in short: Long Shields programme), a community-based, non-lethal human-lion conflict intervention that seeks to mitigate the impacts from lions by encouraging farmers to adopt behaviours that reduce the risk of livestock depredation. Specially, I examine (a) baseline attitudes towards lions and lion conservation; (b) attitudes towards lions before and after the implementation of the Long Shields programme; (c) trends in livestock losses to lions before and after the implementation of the Long Shields programme, and (d) barriers that prevented the adoption of the Long Shields programme. My results reveal that farmers’ attitudes towards lions are strongly negative and seem to be influenced by perceived losses rather than the actual losses to lions. Attitudes varied based on the geographic location where the farmer lived as well as the farmer’s ethnic group (Chapter 2). Subsequently, I detected a positive shift in attitudes of farmers that were part of the Long Shields programme (i.e., treatment group), including those that were part of the control group but exchanged information with their peers in the treatment group, than those of farmers in the control group (Chapter 3). My results also revealed that farmers that were part of the Long Shields programme experienced a significant reduction (up to 40%) in livestock loss to lions since the start of this programme in 2013, compared to the period 2008-2012 before the programme was initiated, while livestock losses increased for farmers that were not part of this programme. The number of lions killed annually due to retaliatory killing by farmers also declined by 41% since the implementation of the programme in 2013 (Chapter 4). My results also revealed that although the Long Shields programme was effective and well perceived by the majority of participants, a minority of farmers in the programme area continued to suffer higher livestock losses to lions than did others. Continuance of higher livestock losses to lions, despite all efforts from the programme personnel, seemed to be influenced by various barriers such as poor communication, negative attitudes towards the programme, and lack of trust in the programme itself, and in some cases, the programme personnel (Chapter 5). Although here we focus on human-lion conflict, our evaluation design and overall findings are applicable to other human-carnivore conflicts situations in other areas.