Prediction of 14-year cardiovascular outcomes by dobutamine stress

Dobutamine stress myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) is a useful alternative for the evaluation of coronary artery disease (CAD) in elderly patients who are unable to perform an exercise stress test. However, data on the long-term prognostic value of stress MPI in elderly patients are lacking. Therefore, this study evaluated the long-term prognostic value of dobutamine stress MPI in elderly patients unable to perform an exercise test.The study population consisted of 247 elderly patients (mean age 71 ± 5 years) who underwent dobutamine stress single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) MPI. An abnormal SPECT study was defined as the presence of fixed and/or reversible perfusion defects. A summed stress score (SSS) was obtained to estimate the extent and severity of perfusion defects. End points during follow-up were all-cause mortality, cardiac mortality, and nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI).During a median follow-up of 14 years (range 12-16), 168 (68%) patients died (all-cause mortality), of which 56 (23%) were due to cardiac causes. Nonfatal MI occurred in 19 (8%) patients. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that MPI provided optimal risk stratification in patients with normal and abnormal MPI. Multivariable analysis identified an abnormal MPI as a strong significant predictor of all-cause mortality and cardiac events. A multivariable analysis also revealed that a reversible defect and SSS were strong long-term predictors of cardiac mortality and hard cardiac events.Dobutamine stress