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Is a probabilistic modeling really useful in financial engineering? - A-t-on vraiment besoin d'un mod\`ele probabiliste en ing\'enierie financi\`ere ?

Authors :
Fliess, Michel
Join, Cédric
Hatt, Frédéric
Publication Year :
2011

Abstract

A new standpoint on financial time series, without the use of any mathematical model and of probabilistic tools, yields not only a rigorous approach of trends and volatility, but also efficient calculations which were already successfully applied in automatic control and in signal processing. It is based on a theorem due to P. Cartier and Y. Perrin, which was published in 1995. The above results are employed for sketching a dynamical portfolio and strategy management, without any global optimization technique. Numerous computer simulations are presented.<br />Comment: Conf\'erence M\'editerran\'eenne sur l'Ing\'enierie S\^ure des Syst\`emes Complexes, MISC 2011, Agadir : Maroc (2011)

Details

Database :
arXiv
Publication Type :
Report
Accession number :
edsarx.1104.2124
Document Type :
Working Paper