Solar energy production: Short-term forecasting and risk management

Electricity production via solar energy is tackled via short-term forecasts and risk management. Our main tool is a new setting on time series. It allows the definition of "confidence bands" where the Gaussian assumption, which is not satisfied by our concrete data, may be abandoned. Those bands are quite convenient and easily implementable. Numerous computer simulations are presented.
Comment: 8th IFAC Conference on Manufacturing Modelling, Management & Control (Troyes, France, June 2016)